Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.579635 0.660998 0.748535 0.849575 0.962844 1.085757 1.229087
2025-05-25 0.462310 0.575290 0.706470 0.869439 1.065829 1.294188 1.579116
2025-06-01 0.376104 0.507258 0.670534 0.887286 1.165834 1.509958 1.965239
2025-06-08 0.304020 0.442281 0.625964 0.885161 1.238301 1.698969 2.340995
2025-06-15 0.258201 0.402679 0.606339 0.909983 1.345784 1.942187 2.811997
2025-06-22 0.213317 0.355683 0.568040 0.901537 1.404027 2.122857 3.215778
2025-06-29 0.182822 0.324343 0.546727 0.912919 1.489432 2.347518 3.701292
2025-07-06 0.152018 0.286666 0.509294 0.893096 1.523314 2.497389 4.088731
2025-07-13 0.136753 0.272260 0.506613 0.927187 1.643500 2.787220 4.712391
2025-07-20 0.124111 0.260141 0.505580 0.962910 1.768710 3.094439 5.387941
2025-07-27 0.110284 0.243261 0.493425 0.977012 1.857623 3.348935 5.997620
2025-08-03 0.097206 0.225455 0.476783 0.980271 1.926718 3.574544 6.575477
2025-08-10 0.085089 0.207766 0.458385 0.978890 1.989033 3.797040 7.172624
2025-08-17 0.075061 0.192736 0.443059 0.981370 2.058507 4.037888 7.821669
2025-08-24 0.066849 0.180252 0.431093 0.988841 2.137868 4.302729 8.534214
2025-08-31 0.058372 0.165472 0.411977 0.978902 2.181517 4.504539 9.146773
2025-09-07 0.053347 0.158225 0.408388 1.001319 2.292179 4.841123 10.034858
2025-09-14 0.046708 0.145457 0.390196 0.989194 2.329618 5.038531 10.672069
2025-09-21 0.042251 0.137648 0.382544 0.999762 2.415879 5.338373 11.528808
2025-09-28 0.036616 0.125307 0.361845 0.977138 2.427132 5.487185 12.096824
2025-10-05 0.034464 0.122749 0.365568 1.013424 2.573116 5.923664 13.273540
2025-10-12 0.032558 0.120556 0.369920 1.051699 2.727047 6.387671 14.536926
2025-10-19 0.029871 0.115319 0.365290 1.066697 2.828013 6.745871 15.603693